UK ELECTION BETTING
LATEST NEWS
2010-05-06
2010-05-06
2010-05-06
2010-05-06
2010-05-06
PRESS RELEASE
Election Day latest betting trends
(06 May 2010) As the nation goes to the polls punters appear to think the Lib Dem bubble has burst. Paddy Power reports a complete lack of interest in Nick Clegg’s party as punters speculate on the likely result of tonight’s count.
Having been the same price of 5/6 with Labour a week ago on who will record least votes across the UK the Lib Dems are now just 2/7. They are also just 1/7 to record less than 100 seats, from 4/7 a week ago.
The Lib Dems are also now 40/1 to win the most seats as the money pushes The Conservatives to just 1/20 for victory. The Lib Dem win may always have been an unlikely occurrence but the Party had been 25/1 just 24 hours ago and as short as 9/1 after Clegg’s successful first TV debate.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “The money we are seeing on voting day suggests that, when push comes to shove, the public aren’t convinced the Lib Dems are a viable option and they have failed to maintain the momentum of Clegg’s early TV debate performances. All the money is for the Tories, hung parliament or Labour.”
Paddy Power are betting in-running on the Election throughout the night’s count and results.
PADDY POWER ELECTION LATEST
Who will win most Seats?
1/20 Cons
7/1 Lab
40/1 Lib Dems
Who Will Win Least Votes
2/7 Lib Dems
7/4 Labour
Lib Dems 100
1/7 Less than 100 seats
7/2 100 Seats of more
Majority Betting
8/15 Hung Parliament
11/8 Cons Majority
33/1 Lab Majority
100/1 Lib Dem Majority
Conservative Majority
8/15 Defeat or no majority
2/1 2-20 Seat Majority
9/4 22-40 Seat Majority
5/1 42-60 Seat Majority
16/1 62-80 Seat Majority
33/1 82-100 Seat Majority
22/1 Over 100 Seat Majority
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Election night betting preview
(05 May 2010) Punters are in the final furlong of the 2010 Election and to make things more interesting on Election night Paddy Power have issued a whole host of betting markets.
Paddy Power are speculating not just on the overall result but a wide range of other markets to get voters through the long night of results including the expected turnout, whether Labour will slump to third in the vote, first constituency to declare and first minister to admit defeat. With over 690 markets, including all constituencies, the bookie will also be betting in-running throughout the night until a winner is declared – if there is one.
Highlights include:
• Punters anticipating high voting turnout
• Lib Dems just 6/5 to record more votes than Labour
• Houghton & Sunderland South hot favourite in race to declare first
• Mandelson favourite Minister to admit defeat first at 13/8
• £25million to be gambled on Election nationwide
Bookies Predict £25million Nationwide Gamble
Paddy Power anticipate over £25million being gambled on the Election across the UK with the success of the TV debates forcing the bookie to revise the figure from a £20million forecast prior to the campaign. 2005’s Election saw about £10million being gambled on the result.
ELECTION NIGHT BETTING
The TV debates appear to have caught the public’s imagination and bookies are expecting a significant increase in the turnout compared to 2005’s 61%. An increase to 65-70% is the 6/4 favourite with more than 70% also popular at 13/8.
All eyes could be on Sunderland for the race to declare first with Houghton & Sunderland South the big favourites at just 2/7 to announce their winner before anyone else. Sunderland Central and Washington & Sunderland West could be the closest rivals.
UK Election Turnout
13/8 70% or more
6/4 65-70%
5/2 60-65%
7/1 55-60%
16/1 50-55%
40/1 Under 50%
Lib Dems To Beat Labour
8/13 No
6/5 Yes
First Constituency to Declare
2/7 Houghton & Sunderland South
13/2 Sunderland Central
8/1 Washington & Sunderland West
11/1 Wrexham
12/1 Foyle
14/1 Birmingham Ladywood
CABINET CRASH?
Will it be a case of every man for himself should the Labour ship go down? Ministers are already sounding some early notes of concern and Paddy Power are betting on who will be the first to admit defeat, making Peter Mandelson the 13/8 favourite. Punters watching the election coverage through the night can also bet on when or if Gordon Brown officially concedes defeat.
First Minister to concede defeat (after voting closes)
13/8 Mandelson
4/1 Lord Adonis
5/1 Johnson
6/1 Jowell
8/1 Harman
10/1 D Miliband
12/1 Balls
12/1 Burnham
14/1 E Milliband
16/1 Straw
16/1 Darling
What time will Brown officially concede defeat?
20/1 Before midnight
7/2 Midnight-3am
8/1 3am-6am
10/1 6am-9am
11/4 9am-Midday
5/2 Midday-3pm
11/8 3pm or later
Cabinet Crash
11/4 No Cabinet Minister to lose their seat
9/4 1-2 Ministers to lose their seat
15/8 3-4 Ministers to lose their seat
4/1 5-6 Ministers to lose their seat
7/1 7 or more Ministers to lose their seat
ELECTION RESULT
Paddy Power have already paid out early on who will win the Election, declaring the Conservatives winners as punters pushed their price to win most seats to just 1/16. However punters are undecided if they will get a majority with a Tory majority flip-flopping for favouritism with a hung parliament. Hung parliament just edges it currently at 4/5 to the Tory majority at Evens.
9/4 Two Elections in 2010
Who will win most Seats?
1/16 Cons
8/1 Lab
25/1 Lib Dems
Majority Betting
4/5 Hung Parliament
Evs Cons Majority
33/1 Lab Majority
66/1 Lib Dem Majority
Conservative Majority
11/10 Defeat or no majority
7/4 2-20 Seat Majority
5/2 22-40 Seat Majority
6/1 42-60 Seat Majority
16/1 62-80 Seat Majority
20/1 82-100 Seat Majority
18/1 Over 100 Seat Majority
Best Pollster
2/1 YouGov
9/4 Angus Reid
7/2 ICM
4/1 ComRes
5/1 Ipsos-MORI
5/1 Populus
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Tories cut afetr Cameron performance
(30 April 2010) A storming performance in the punters eyes by David Cameron has seen Paddy Power cut the Conservatives to win next week’s Election and to secure a majority.
A Tory majority came in from 11/8 to just 5/4 as Cameron appeared to put in a strong showing in the economy themed debate. Labour remain unchanged at 5/1 with the Lib Dems drifting to 16/1 from 14s.
However a hung parliament remains an ever increasing likelihood at 4/7.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “If Clegg was a clear winner in the first two debates then punters were in little doubt Cameron had won the third and they were quick to speculate that it could have a crucial impact on the Conservative’s Election chances.”
In Paddy Power’s Debate Betting Tracker David Cameron was the punters favourite to win – finishing at the shortest odds to be declared the winner of a debate of any of the three leaders in any of the three debates (2/7).
Gordon Brown barely laid a glove on his rivals with punters unmoved to back the PM at anytime during the show finishing a whopping 18/1 outsider. Paddy Power will declare their debate winner according to the ICM poll.
Paddy Power Election Winner (Most Seats)
1/7 Conservatives (from 1/6)
5/1 Labour (from 5/1)
16/1 Lib Dems (from 14/1)
Paddy Power Hung Parliament
4/7 Hung Parliament (8/15)
5/4 Conservative majority (11/8)
28/1 Labour majority
40/1 Lib Dem majority (33/1)
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Brown not trusted
Just 8% of people would trust Gordon Brown to take a penalty for them in a World Cup Final reports a poll for Paddy Power.
In an exclusive Paddy Power poll by YouGov the Primeminister was deemed the leader no one would want to see stepping up to take a spot kick when the chance of winning the World Cup is on the line.
However 41% of the 1077 people asked wouldn’t trust ANY of the leaders to take a crucial penalty for England in a World Cup Final. Nick Clegg received the most backing on 24% with Cameron fancied to step up by 15%.
The televised debates also look to have failed in convincing people any of the three leaders are someone they would like to go for a pint with. 31% say they would avoid having a pint with any of the party leaders although of the three Nick Clegg is the favourite with 27% saying they would join him for a beer. More people would prefer to go for a drink with Gordon Brown (21%) than David Cameron (18%).
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “Brown is clearly not trusted at a time of national importance like a World Cup Final penalty – after the week he’s had you certainly wouldn’t bet on him hitting the target.”
LEADERS NOT AS IMPORTANT AS THEY THINK THEY ARE
Concerns that the live Leader debates would create a presidential style election are unfounded with just 8% of people stating they will be voting solely on their preferred party leader according to the Paddy Power poll.
The poll suggests the Election campaign hasn’t descended into a battle of personalities that many believe with 44% of people still intending to vote for their preferred party than their preferred leader and 32% for their preferred party and leader.
Darren Haines said: “It appears that the politicians complaining the leader debates are distorting Britain’s political process are once again underestimating voters’ intelligence – but that wouldn’t be the first time.”
Paddy Power Political Poll Results
Which leader would you trust most to take a penalty for England in a World Cup Final
15% Cameron
24% Clegg
8% Brown
41% None of them
12% Don’t know
Which leader would you most like to go for a pint with?
18% Cameron
27% Clegg
21% Brown
31% None of them
3% Don’t know
At the General Election you will vote for…
8% Preferred leader
44% Preferred political party
32% Both preferred leader and party
5% Someone else
4% Will not vote
7% Don’t know
Who do you think Nick Clegg should form a coalition with?
36% Labour
22% Conservative
31% Neither
3% Don’t know
ELECTION BETTING LATEST
Winner
1/9 Conservatives
6/1 Labour
18/1 Lib Dems
Hung Parliament
4/6 Hung Parliament
6/5 Conservative majority
28/1 Labour majority
50/1 Lib Dem majority
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Paddy Power push Brown betting after gaff
(28 April) Paddy Power has pushed out Gordon Brown’s election odds following his disastrous microphone gaff today.
Having been caught calling a voter “bigoted” the bookies believe it’s done him no favours ahead of the Election and have pushed Labour from 4/1 to 5/1 to win most seats.
It’s also damaged Brown’s chances of remaining PM with Paddy Power pushing the odds from 10/3 from 5/1. With Nick Clegg already suggesting he wouldn’t work in a coalition with Brown as PM the potential Lib Dem kingmaker is only likely to take a further dim view of Brown’s position.
Paddy Power have also pushed out Brown’s odds on winning Thursday’s TV debate to 5/1 from 11/4 whilst the mysterious ‘Sue’ – Brown’s aide Sue Nye - blamed in the car for putting Brown in front of the woman in the first place is 3/1 to lose her job.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “This is certainly a case of foot in mouth but is it also likely to prove to be one foot in the grave? At the very least it’s not done Gordon any favours and the odds have drifted accordingly.”
ELECTION BETTING LATEST
Who will win most seats?
1/6 Conservatives (from 1/5)
5/1 Labour (from 4/1)
14/1 Lib Dems (from 16/1)
Who will win the BBC Debate?
6/5 Cameron
13/8 Clegg
5/1 Brown (from 11/4)
(As determined by ICM poll)
Who will be PM after the General Election
1/4 Cameron (from 2/7)
5/1 Brown (from 10/3)
8/1 Clegg (from 9/1)
Next to apologise on the Election campaign
11/8 Gordon Brown
6/4 David Cameron
9/4 Nick Clegg
Will “Sue” (Sue Nye) be sacked?
3/1 Yes
1/5 No
Hung Parliament
4/9 Hung Parliament
7/4 Conservative majority
20/1 Labour majority
33/1 Lib Dem majority
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Labour betting odds continue to slump
(26 April 2010) Paddy Power have again pushed out Labour’s odds of winning next week’s General Election following another set of damning polls in the last few days.
With Labour sitting third in several of the national polls Paddy Power has pushed the party out to 9/2 from 4/1, with Gordon Brown and Nick Clegg now level pegging on who will receive the most votes. In a straight fight between the two parties Paddy Power make both Labour and the Lib Dems 5/6 to receive more of the national vote than the other.
David Cameron’s Conservatives continue to attract the punters’ money and are now 1/6 from 1/4 to win the most seats although the ultimate prospect of a hung parliament looms large at just 8/15.
As the betting continues to suggest Labour will struggle for votes, if not seats, Paddy Power are also betting on how many Cabinet Ministers lose their seats, making none the most likely at 5/6 but between four and six also a possibility at 5/2.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “Punters clearly think Labour’s prospects of victory are diminishing by the day. It seems almost unimaginable before the TV debates that we would have ever had them level-pegging with the Lib Dems for who would win the most votes but that is now the battle they are in.”
Coalition Confusion
As speculation increases on what Nick Clegg might do in a hung parliament the betting suggests Labour remain the more likely to receive the Lib Dems support at 9/4. However with Clegg and Cameron apparently not ruling out a Lib Dem-Tory collaboration Paddy Power also offer 11/4, from 3/1, that the country is ruled by a blue-yellow coalition.
COALITION BETTING
Who will the Lib Dems form a coalition with?
9/4 Labour
11/4 Conservatives
5/6 Neither
Will the Lib Dems for a coalition in a hung parliament?
5/6 Yes
5/6 No
ELECTION BETTING LATEST
Winner
1/6 Conservatives (from 1/5)
9/2 Labour (from 4/1)
16/1 Lib Dems (from 14/1)
Hung Parliament
8/15 Hung Parliament
13/8 Conservative majority
20/1 Labour majority
33/1 Lib Dem majority
Labour v Lib Dems
5/6 Lib Dems
5/6 Labour
Number of Lib Dem Cabinet positions?
5/6 None
16/1 One - Two
10/1 Three - Four
5/2 Five - Six
4/1 Seven - Eight
10/1 Nine - Ten
14/1 Over Ten
PM After The Election
2/7 Cameron
10/3 Brown
9/1 Clegg
How Many Cabinet Ministers will Lose Their Seat?
6/4 None
5/2 One-Two
2/1 Three-Four
3/1 Five-Six
8/1 Seven or more
TV DEBATE BETTING
Who will win the final TV Debate?
6/5 Clegg
13/8 Cameron
11/4 Brown
(As determined by ICM poll)
Who will Perform better or worse than in the first debate?
Will Clegg perform better or worse than the second debate? (33%)
4/9 Better
13/8 Worse
Will Cameron perform better or worse than the second debate? (29%)
1/2 Better
6/4 Worse
Will Brown perform better or worse than the second debate? (29%)
4/6 Worse
11/10 Better
First To Agree
9/4 Gordon with Nick
5/2 Nick with Gordon
3/1 David with Gordon
4/1 Nick with David
6/1 David with Nick
8/1 Gordon with David
Ends
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Clegg favourite for second debate
Nick Clegg is the 5/6 favourite to win the second election debate on Thursday reports Paddy Power.
Having taken the country, and his rivals, by surprise by winning the first debate the bookies are taking no chances with Clegg for the second debate on Thursday, installing the Lib Dem leader the odds on favourite having been 7/4 second favourite for the opening programme a week ago.
However it is unlikely Clegg can pull off such a stellar performance twice in a row and Paddy Power make him the only leader unlikely to improve on his first debate polling. Clegg is 7/4 to improve on his winning performance of 51% from ICM whilst both Cameron and Clegg, with much room for improvement, are both odds-on to raise their game in the eyes of the viewers.
Can Cam Turn It Around?
Having been favourite to win the first debate at 10/11, Cameron is now 6/5 to up his game and come out on top second time round whilst Gordon Brown, having been deserted by punters in the ITV debate, is out at 8/1. Paddy Power will once again be betting in-running on the debate winner during the show, with punters able to react to the scrolling worms to judge each leader’s performance.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “Having been the star of the show in the first election debate last week punters are backing Clegg to either pull off a repeat performance or for the Lib Dem bandwagon to roll on long enough to keep Clegg’s star in the ascendancy whatever happens on the Sky stage.”
Cliché Bingo Betting
Gordon Brown was falling over himself to flatter Nick Clegg in the first debate, several times saying “I agree Nick” during the show. But will the PM be quite so gracious in the Sky debate now that the Lib Dems have emerged as a genuine force in the forthcoming Election? Paddy Power offer 11/10 that Brown does not again say “I agree Nick” whilst it’s 4/1 he says it once and 5/1 twice. Should Brown decide a Lib-Lab pact could be the way forward Paddy Power offers 4/1 he says the phrase five times or more.
With the debate also focusing on foreign policies Paddy Power bets on the first country to be mentioned with Afghanistan the 5/4 favourite followed by Iraq at 4.1 and Iceland at 5/1.
The only betting market Gordon Brown is favourite to win is the race to see which leader can be the first to reference the volcanic cloud that’s been hanging over the country for the last week! Brown is 11/10 to mention the volcano first followed by Cameron at 2/1 and Clegg at 9/4.
TV DEBATE BETTING
Who will win the second TV Debate?
5/6 Clegg
6/5 Cameron
8/1 Brown
(As determined by ICM poll)
Who will Perform better or worse than in the first debate?
Will Clegg perform better or worse? (51%)
7/4 Better
2/5 Worse
Will Cameron perform better or worse? (20%)
4/7 Better
5/4 Worse
Will Brown perform better or worse? (19%)
1/2 Better
6/4 Worse
CLICHÉ BINGO BETTING
How many times will Gordon Brown say “I agree Nick”?
11/10 None
4/1 One
5/1 Two
6/1 Three
8/1 Four
4/1 Five or More
First leader to reference the volcano/volcanic cloud
11/10 Brown
2/1 Cameron
9/4 Clegg
First country mentioned by one of the leaders
5/4 Afghanistan
4/1 Iraq
5/1 Iceland
8/1 Iran
8/1 Greece
10/1 USA
12/1 Israel
16/1 China
18/1 India
20/1 France
25/1 Germany
33/1 Ireland
40/1 Poland
Second TV Debate Cliché Betting
What Cliché will be said by a Party Leader first?
8/1 Britain
10/1 Afghanistan
10/1 Iraq
12/1 Hung Parliament
12/1 Iran
12/1 Airline
12/1 Iceland
12/1 Middle East
12/1 Defence
14/1 Volcano
14/1 Eruption
14/1 I agree with Nick
14/1 Brave soldiers
14/1 Terrorism
16/1 Jobs
16/1 Manifesto
16/1 Real change
16/1 7/7
18/1 Crime
18/1 Rubbish
18/1 Immigration
18/1 Reform
18/1 Climate Change
18/1 Trust
18/1 British Airways
18/1 China
20/1 Employment
20/1 NHS
20/1 Education
20/1 Lies
20/1 Law and Order
20/1 Debt
20/1 Deficit
20/1 Recession
20/1 Working class
20/1 18 years
20/1 Tony Blair
20/1 9/11
25/1 Constitution
25/1 Vince Cable
25/1 Neighbours
25/1 Proud to be British
33/1 Family man
33/1 Squandered
33/1 Cannabis
33/1 Punishment
40/1 I will cut taxes
40/1 There he goes again
40/1 I stand here before you
40/1 I love this country
40/1 Gay
50/1 Margaret Thatcher
50/1 BNP
50/1 Obama
66/1 Eton
66/1 Education, Education, Education
66/1 This man’s not for turning
66/1 Normal guy
66/1 Humble background
80/1 I came into politics to change the country
80/1 Now is not the time for sound bites
80/1 This is our moment
100/1 I am a fighter not a quitter
150/1 Money is not the only answer
150/1 Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it
250/1 Radio Face
500/1 Paddy Power
Sky News Peak Viewers
9/2 Under 6 Million
3/1 6,000,000 - 7,000,000
9/4 7,000,001 - 8,000,000
4/1 8,000,001 - 9,000,000
6/1 9,000,001 - 10,000,000
7/2 Over 10,000,000
Sky Debate 1-2-3
5/4 Clegg-Cameron-Brown
7/4 Cameron-Clegg-Brown
9/2 Clegg-Brown-Cameron
13/2 Cameron-Brown-Clegg
12/1 Brown-Clegg-Cameron
18/1 Brown-Cameron-Clegg
ELECTION BETTING LATEST
Winner
2/7 Conservatives
10/3 Labour
10/1 Lib Dems
Hung Parliament
8/15 Hung Parliament
13/8 Conservative majority
16/1 Labour majority
22/1 Lib Dem majority
Lib Dems Highest Poll Rating
11/8 33%
11/4 34%
10/3 35%
4/1 36%
9/1 37%
12/1 38%
16/1 39%
18/1 40% or Over
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Lib Dem victory could cost bookies millions
(19 April 2010) Nick Clegg’s popularity following the live TV debate has put another spanner in the Election works of Labour and the Tories with the odds of a hung parliament, despite David Cameron’s warnings, being backed from 6/5 on Friday to just 8/15 today. But such has been the reaction from punters since the debate that bookies now find themselves with a payout of several million pounds should the unlikely Lib Dem victory become a reality.
Paddy Power punters have now backed the Lib Dems to win the most seats on May 6th from 200/1 no-hopers to 10/1 contenders.
In the event of a coalition Lib Dems are now 6/4 to side with Labour and 5/1 the Conservatives. In such an event Paddy Power quotes Nick Clegg at 6/4 to be the Deputy Prime Minister, and with his MEP experience and linguistic skills he is a tempting 6/1 to end up as the next Foreign Secretary. But if Clegg’s popularity continues on its upward spiral punters are also not ruling out a punt at 8/1 that Clegg could even become the next PM.
Roberto Coladangelo spokesman for Paddy Power said: “The betting reaction to the Lib Dems has been phenomenal and has forced us to revise the odds for all 650 constituencies.
“The bookies are calm at the moment but Thursday’s second debate will give us a clearer picture of whether it’s a matter of style over substance. Another strong performance from Clegg will have the bookie’s getting very nervous about potential payouts on the Lib Dems which are running into the millions.”
Nick Clegg - Cabinet Position
6/4 Deputy Prime Minister
6/1 Foreign Secretary
8/1 Prime Minister
12/1 Home Secretary
Chancellor After Next Election
1/2 George Osborne
6/4 Vince Cable
9/2 Alistair Darling
10/1 Philip Hammond
12/1 Ed Balls
12/1 Kenneth Clarke
28/1 Ed Miliband
33/1 David Miliband
40/1 Peter Mandelson
50/1 Andy Burnham
50/1 Alan Johnson
Most senior job held by a Liberal Democrat after election
6/4 Deputy PM
6/4 Chancellor of Exchequer
8/1 PM
10/1 Home Secretary
12/1 Foreign Secretary
14/1 Energy Secretary
20/1 Defence Secretary
20/1 Justice Secretary
20/1 Health Secretary
20/1 Transport Secretary
20/1 International Development Secretary
28/1 Culture Secretary
Who Will Lib Dems Form A Coalition With?
6/4 Labour
5/1 Conservatives
5/6 Neither
Liberal Democrats Result
6/1 More votes than anyone else
10/1 More seats than anyone else
10/1 More votes than anyone else but not more seats than anyone else
14/1 More votes than anyone else and more seats than anyone else
5/2 A second election to be held in 2010
Who Will Win Most Seats
1/7 Cons
10/3 Lab
10/1 Lib Dems
Overall Majority
8/15 None (Hung Parliament)
13/8 Conservative Majority
16/1 Labour Majority
22/1 Liberal Democrats
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Roberto Coladangelo
Paddy Power plc
T: 020 7089 9763
M: 07507 406 291
rcoladangelo@paddypower.com
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Click here to visit Paddy Power’s official Facebook page
Click here to visit Paddy Power’s official Twitter page
Download Press Release
Clegg being backed to nick it
(14 April 2010) Nick Clegg is being well backed to be the star of the first ever TV political debate in the UK with Paddy Power punters backing the Lib Dem leader in from a 5/2 outsider to 7/4 second favourite.
Whilst David Cameron is the odds-on favourite to be declared the official winner in polls at 10/11 Clegg has leapfrogged Brown who has drifted out to 10/3 from 7/4.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “As the most unknown of the three leaders Nick Clegg has the least to lose and could benefit from the surprise factor. But if the betting is right, nobody is expecting a strong performance from Brown. It is often said that it is the leaders who have the most to lose in a TV debate so will Brown come to regret agreeing to the programmes come May 6th?”
“Britain” 10/1 Favourite in Cliché Bingo Betting
Its eyes down when the three election hopefuls go head to head in Britain’s first televised election debate with Paddy Power bringing in their popular cliché bingo betting.
The bookie, who has been running commentator cliché betting in major sports events since Euro 2004, are betting on the first phrase used by one of the three party leaders and make “Britain” and “Jobs” the joint-favourites at 10/1 with “crime” and “manifesto” at 12/1.
With the ITV debate focusing on domestic affairs, other words proving popular in the early betting include “NHS” and “education” at 14/1, “change” at 16/1 and “recession” at 18/1. Key names from the Tory, Labour and Lib Dems past and present are also in the running for first cliché used with Vince Cable and Tony Blair at 20/1, and Margaret Thatcher at 40/1.
The cliché betting will start after Brown, Cameron and Clegg have made their rehearsed opening statements.
Some apt quotes could also be shoe-horned into the debate with Tony Blair’s ‘I came into politics to change the country’ at 50/1 and “now is not the time for soundbites” at 66/1. Ronald Reagan’s famous dismissal of President Carter “There you go again”, seen as a pivotal TV debate moment in his 1980 Election victory, is 33/1 whilst Winton Churchill’s grandiose “those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it” at 100/1 could be a pointed barb from Cameron or Clegg to Gordon Brown.
Darren Haines said: “The three leaders will have rehearsed in great detail what they plan to say and there will be few words said that haven’t been planned in advance. We all know how politicians simply can’t resist a soundbite so it won’t be long before the trusted clichés and phrases start getting rattled off.”
TV DEBATE BETTING
Who will win the first TV Debate?
10/11 Cameron
7/4 Clegg
10/3 Brown
(As determined by ICM poll)
TV Debate Cliché Betting
What Cliché will be said by a Party Leader first?
10/1 Jobs
10/1 Britain
12/1 Crime
12/1 Manifesto
12/1 Afghanistan
14/1 Employment
14/1 Rubbish
14/1 NHS
14/1 Education
14/1 Iraq
16/1 Hung Parliament
16/1 Immigration
16/1 Change
16/1 Reform
16/1 Lies
18/1 Climate Change
18/1 Law and Order
18/1 Trust
18/1 Iran
18/1 Debt
18/1 Deficit
18/1 Recession
20/1 Working class
20/1 18 years
20/1 Tony Blair
20/1 Constitution
20/1 Vince Cable
25/1 Proud to be British
25/1 Family man
25/1 Squandered
33/1 Expenses
33/1 I will cut taxes
33/1 There he goes again
33/1 I stand here before you
33/1 Cannabis
33/1 Punishment
33/1 I love this country
40/1 Eton
40/1 Margaret Thatcher
40/1 Gay
40/1 BNP
50/1 I came into politics to change the country
50/1 Education, Education, Education
50/1 This man’s not for turning
50/1 Normal guy
50/1 Humble background
50/1 Obama
66/1 Now is not the time for sound bites
66/1 This is our moment
80/1 I am a fighter not a quitter
100/1 Money is not the only answer
100/1 Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it
100/1 Radio Face
500/1 Paddy Power
First to Noticeably Perspire
13/8 Clegg
13/8 Cameron
7/4 Brown
5/1 Any party leader not to shake hands with another at the end of the debate
First Audience Rule To Be Broken
11/8 Applauding
7/4 Booing
4/1 Heckling
9/2 Cheering
50/1 Streaking
ITV Election Debate Peak Viewers
4/1 Under 8 million
5/2 8,000,000 - 11,000,000
7/4 11,000,001 - 14,000,000
9/4 14,000,001 - 17,000,000
6/1 17,000,001 - 20,000,000
16/1 Over 20,000,000
Which TV Debate Will Have The Highest Viewing Audience
1/2 BBC
6/4 ITV
10/1 Sky
ELECTION BETTING LATEST
Winner
1/8 Conservatives
9/2 Labour
200/1 Lib Dems
Hung Parliament
8/15 Conservative majority
7/4 Hung Parliament
12/1 Labour majority
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Cameron favourite to win first TV debate
(12 April 2010) As the Prime-ministerial hopefuls prepare for the first ever Election TV debate this week, electionbetting.com has installed David Cameron as the betting favourite to be declared the winner of the ITV show.
After a strong first week on the campaign trail David Cameron is the 5/6 favourite to be declared the winner of the first TV debate with the Prime Minister 7/4 and Nick Clegg the 5/2 outsider. Paddy Power will also be offering live in-play betting on the winner of the debate with odds responding to the performances of each of the three leaders throughout the Thursday show.
The winner will be decided by any ICM Poll that declares who the public believed was the best performer on the night.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “Whilst David Cameron is the favourite for his skills on stage as this is the first ever TV debate we are as much in the dark as the viewers as to what to expect and there could be wild fluctuation in the in-play betting. Nick Clegg, for example, is the current outsider but has nothing to lose so his surprise factor may be translated by some people into thinking he was the best performer on the night.”
Other markets available on the debates include which of the strict rules on the studio audience will be broken first with applauding the 11/8 favourite ahead of booing at 7/4 and streaking a 50/1 outsider. Nick Clegg is the 11/10 favourite to feel the pressure first and noticeably perspire on TV. Paddy Power are also betting on ITV’s likely viewing figure for the show, making and audience of 11 to 14 million the 7/4 favourite although BBC are expected to pull in the most viewers when it is their turn to host in a couple of weeks time.
After Neil Kinnock declared Brown had a ‘radio face’ Paddy Power are also offering 500/1 that the PM wears a Tony Blair mask during the ITV show.
Tories Win In Weekend Wagers
In the outright betting its been a good weekend for the Tories who are now 1/8 from 1/7 for an Election win. Labour continue to drift after their recent small bounce and are vurrently 9/2 from 4/1 whilst the once previously popular hung parliament bet is also now on the wane, out to 7/4 from 13/8.
Brighton Going Green?
Finally, proof that it isn’t just all about the big three parties, down in Brighton Pavillion the Greens have consolidated their position as favourites to win the constituency they have targeted as their principal target with Paddy Power cutting them from 4/5 to just 4/7. The Conservatives look to be their most likely challenger at 2/1 with Labour out at 5/1 to successfully defend the seat.
TV DEBATE BETTING
Who will win the first TV Debate?
5/6 Cameron
7/4 Brown
5/2 Clegg
(As determined by ICM poll)
5/1 Any party leader not to shake hands with another at the end of the debate
First to Noticeably Perspire
11/10 Clegg
6/4 Cameron
3/1 Brown
First Audience Rule To Be Broken
11/8 Applauding
7/4 Booing
4/1 Heckling
9/2 Cheering
50/1 Streaking
ITV Election Debate Peak Viewers
5/1 Under 8 million
5/2 8,000,000 - 11,000,000
7/4 11,000,001 - 14,000,000
9/4 14,000,001 - 17,000,000
6/1 17,000,001 - 20,000,000
16/1 Over 20,000,000
Radio Face Specials
12/1 Gordon to insist on no close ups
50/1 Gordon to have botox before the election
500/1 Gordon Brown to wear a Tony Blair mask for the debate
Which TV Debate Will Have The Highest Viewing Audience
1/2 BBC
6/4 ITV
10/1 Sky
ELECTION BETTING LATEST
Winner
1/8 Conservatives
9/2 Labour
200/1 Lib Dems
Hung Parliament
8/15 Conservative majority
7/4 Hung Parliament
12/1 Labour majority
Brighton Pavillion
4/7 Greens
2/1 Conservatives
5/1 Labour
80/1 Lib Dem
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Labour tweets itself in foot in moray constituency betting
(09 April 2010) The latest constituency odds at electionbetting.com shows Labour’s chances of victory in Moray to have suffered greatly by the fallout of ‘Twit-gate’ with Stuart McLennan’s online comments doing nothing to help the already sullied reputation of politicians in general.
Labour are now 20/1 to take the Scottish constituency from 12/1 before McLennan was removed as the party’s candidate whilst the SNP have cemented their short odds at 1/10 from 1/8. The Conservatives remain second favourites at 5/1.
Moray
1/10 SNP (from 1/8)
5/1 Cons
20/1 Lab (from 12/1)
100/1 Lib Dems
National Betting
There’s been no change in the outright betting in the last 24 hours but Paddy Power took their largest bet to date on a Lib Dem outright victory, £200 at 200/1. The punter, in Diane Abbott’s Labour controlled constituency of Hackney North, would be set for a potential return of more than £40,000 should Nick Clegg’s party pull off one of the greatest shocks in Parliament’s 208 year election history.
A good electoral turnout has also drifted in the betting – has the Election bandwagon commenced its blanket coverage too early and risked election fatigue in a months time? 55-60% has seen attention in the last 24 hours, well down on the 61.3% of 2005, and has been cut to 5/2 from 11/4 by Paddy Power.
Paddy Power are also offering 2/1 that the Conservatives win more votes in the national poll but end up with less seats and losing the Election to Labour after a study of constituency boundaries showed Cameron could miss out on Number Ten even if the Tories take one and a half million more votes than Labour.
Election Winner
1/7 Conservatives
4/1 Labour
200/1 Lib Dems
Hung Parliament
8/15 Conservative majority
13/8 Hung Parliament
11/1 Labour majority
2/1 Conservatives to win more votes than Labour but less seats
Turnout %age
Latest Previous
40/1 50/1 Under 50%
9/1 9/1 50-55%
5/2 11/4 55-60%
2/1 2/1 60-65%
5/2 7/4 65-70%
5/1 3/1 More than 70%
Election turnout change
2/5 Higher than last general election
7/4 Lower than last general election
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Election fever hits UK but is it too close to call?
(08 April 2010) Election fever is in full swing and with the country facing its most important decision at the polls in over a decade there are signs that voters are sitting up and showing an interest.
Paddy Power quote an odds on favourite of 2/5 that the turnout for this year’s polling day will be higher than the turnout at the 2005 general election of 61.3%
The current turnout favourite of 65-69.99% is 9/4 with Paddy Power, however should the race stay close the parties will be doing all they can to motivate the public to get voting and a turnout of over 70% is 9/2.
Despite the extensive coverage on manifestos and leaders speeches, the polls are still inconclusive on the final outcome. Paddy Power has a hung parliament at 13/8, but the Conservatives are currently favourites at 8/15 to win with an overall majority. A Labour majority house drifted out to 11/1 from 9/1 since Gordon Brown called the election on Tuesday.
Paddy Power have also cut the odds on a conservative win from 1/6 to 1/7 and Labour have moved to 4/1 from 7/2.
Roberto Coladangelo spokesman for Paddy Power said: “You’ll do well to miss media coverage on the election, but with so many different results from the polls it is still hard to call. What is for sure this election is catching the public’s interest a lot more than the last two which where won comfortably by Labour.”
Hung Parliament
8/15 Conservative majority
13/8 Hung Parliament
11/1 Labour majority
Election turnout change
2/5 Higher than last general election
7/4 Lower than last general election
Election Turnout
9/2 70% or over
9/4 65-69.99%
7/4 60-64.99%
5/2 55-59.99%
9/1 50-54.99%
40/1 under 50%
General Election
1/7 Conservatives
4/1 Labour
200/1 Liberal Democrats
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Roberto Coladangelo
Paddy Power plc
T: 020 7089 9763
M: 07507 406 291
rcoladangelo@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Punters turning blue on eve of election
(06 April 2010) With Gordon Brown expected to finally call the General Election on Tuesday political punters have returned to the Conservatives for the first time this year.
Paddy Power has cut the Tories back to 1/6 from 1/5 to win the Election – the first time David Cameron’s Party has seen its odds shorten in 2010 – whilst the odds on the Conservatives securing a majority have also come in at 8/15 from 4/7.
With some arguing that Labour’s campaign depicting David Cameron as the popular Gene Hunt from Ashes to Ashes has back-fired, the Conservatives have seen a second coming in the polls over Easter reclaiming a ten point lead across several polls in the wake of various reactions to the Budget.
Not only has a Labour election win gone out to 7/2 from 10/3, but the chances of a hung Parliament have also drifted to 13/8 from 6/4.
Betting Bonanza
The forthcoming Election is set to smash all records for political betting in the UK with national markets from the winner to majority betting and electoral turnout amongst the many markets available. With over 600 constituencies, punters have long since started speculating on the outcome in Westminster as well as on their own doorsteps around the country.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “Early indications are that more than £20million will be gambled across the UK on the Election for the first time, possibly more. The fact that the Conservatives can’t quite shake Labour off their tail or see off the chances of a hung parliament is only going to entice people all the more to have a flutter on the race to Number 10.”
Election Latest
Winner
1/6 Conservatives
7/2 Labour
200/1 Lib Dems
Majority
8/15 Conservative majority
13/8 Hung parliament
9/1 Labour majority
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Punters Throw A Surprise With Bets On Labour
(26 March 2010) Punters at electionbetting.com have surprised bookmakers by making a move on Labour in the aftermath of his week’s budget.
Labour are now 10/3 from 4/1 to win the forthcoming Election, having been all but written off at 7/1 in November. The Conservatives remain hot favourites at 1/5 but have been eased significantly from their 1/14 odds at the beginning of the year with the Lib Dems now out at 200/1 from 150s.
Despite wide criticism of the holes and hidden taxes in Alistair Darling’s budget report, an Ipsos-MORI poll showing the Conservatives just two points ahead of Labour and even behind in some of the marginal seats is believed to have influenced a good proportion of the wagers.
However any punters reacting to the Ipsos-MORI report may have not seen Paddy Power’s betting on the most accurate pollster at the Election with the bookie currently running Ipsos as the 5/1 outsider. YouGov are the 2/1 favourites to record the most accurate polls with ICM at 7/2.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “It was surprising to see a run of bets on Labour after their budget had been roundly criticised but the polls are suggesting that the Conservatives don’t seem able to completely kill them off. In Gordon Brown there are a good proportion of punters who believe there is still life in the old dog yet.”
However such a keenly fought election could well see a rise in the electoral turnout following the relative apathy of recent years with every vote likely to be important. Paddy Power are offering 6/4 for a turnout of between 65 and 70%, up from the turnouts of 61% in 2005 and 59% in 2001.
Election Latest
1/5 Conservatives
10/3 Labour
200/1 Lib Dems
6/4 Hung Parliament
8/13 Conservative majority
9/1 Labour majority
Most Accurate Pollster
2/1 YouGov
9/4 Angus Reid
7/2 ICM
4/1 ComRes
5/1 Ipsos-MORI
5/1 Populus
Turnout Percentage
50/1 Less than 50%
12/1 50-55%
4/1 55-60%
2/1 60-65%
6/4 65-70%
11/4 More than 70%
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting and information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Bookie backs budget to do Labour a favour
(22 March 2010) Paddy Power are predicting Wednesday’s Budget could do Labour a favour in the opinion polls with Chancellor Alistair Darling suggesting a prudent budget could be on the cards rather than a pre-election giveaway.
With Labour currently at 31% in the opinion polls (source: YouGov) the bookie believes a one point rise could be on the cards at 9/4 although a big climb of four points or more is less likely at 18/1. Whilst it’s 5/2 for no change Paddy Power also offers 3/1 that Brown and Darling fail to impress voters and Labour ends up falling by one point with a disastrous four point fall or more at 14/1.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “Signals coming out of Number 11 suggests the penny may have finally dropped with Labour and the public are not longer going to be fooled by the tricks of pre-election giveaways that they have employed in the past. If that’s the case then Labour may come out of this year’s budget with their Election chances actually enhanced.”
There was also good news on the UK’s forecast borrowing for the year which many experts are suggesting could now fall below the anticipated £178billion. Paddy Power are offering 5/6 the UK comes in under that huge number.
Speech Stakes
With the government still yet to confirm the election date Paddy Power offers 4/1 that Alistair Darling confirms the date, whether it’s the expected May 6th or otherwise, during his speech with the Chancellor 11/8 to avoid mentioning the elephant in the room by not saying the word ‘election’ at any time during his speech.
Paddy Power are also betting how many times Darling says the word ‘deficit’ in his speech, making four to six times the most likely at 6/4. Darling is 5/1 to still be in the job to present the next Budget to The House although Shadow Chancellor George Osborne is the 1/5 favourite to be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer.
Paddy Power are currently offering over 600 markets on their Election website www.electionbetting.com
BUDGET BETTING
Labour's post budget poll rating (YouGov: Lab currently 31%)
18/1 Up four points or more
14/1 Up three points
9/2 Up two points
9/4 Up one point
5/2 No change
3/1 Down one point
5/1 Down two points
10/1 Down three points
14/1 Down four points or more
5/6 UK government's full year borrowing to be below ₤178 billion
BUDGET SPEECH BETTING
4/1 Alastair Darling to announce the election date in the Budget speech
5/1 Alastair Darling to be Chancellor at the next Budget
How many times will Darling say the word 'election' in his speech?
11/8 None
9/4 One
3/1 Two
5/1 Three
8/1 Four or more
How many times will Darling say the word 'deficit' in his speech?
9/2 Three or less
6/4 Four to Six
7/4 Six to Nine
11/4 Ten or more
Length of Speech
10/11 50 minutes or less
6/4 51 to 55 minutes inclusively
4/1 56 minutes or more
What will happen to tax on tobacco?
1/3 Increased
2/1 Unchanged
10/1 Reduced
What will happen to tax on Alcohol?
4/6 Increased
11/8 Unchanged
5/1 Reduced
Chancellor Clichés – what phrase will Darling say first?
9/4 Stability
4/1 Economic Growth/Economy
5/1 Uncertainty
6/1 Commitment
6/1 Financial Crisis
8/1 Prosperous/Prosperity
8/1 Recession
10/1 Infrastructure
10/1 Down Turn
12/1 Election
14/1 Priority/Priorities
14/1 Safe
18/1 Prudent
20/1 Green shoots
20/1 Climate Change
40/1 Drive Forward
80/1 Anti Social Behaviour
500/1 Paddy Power
Colour of Alistair Darlings’ Tie
9/4 Red
5/2 Purple/Pink
4/1 Blue
6/1 Yellow/Gold
8/1 Green
10/1 Grey/Silver
10/1 Orange/Peach
12/1 Brown
14/1 Black
40/1 White
80/1 Open Collar/No Tie
100/1 Cravate
250/1 Bow Tie
Water Sips
6/4 None
9/4 One
4/1 Two
6/1 Three
4/1 More than Three
POLITICS LATEST
General Election
1/7 Conservatives
4/1 Labour
150/1 Lib Dems
Next Chancellor of the Exchequer
1/5 Osborne
8/1 Cable
10/1 Hammond
12/1 Balls
20/1 E Miliband
20/1 K Clarke
25/1 D Miliband
40/1 Bar
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Another Downing Street baby on the way
(22 March 2010) 2010 looks set to be a very busy year for David Cameron. Not only is the Tory leader the 1/7 red-hot favourite to move into Number 10 but it looks like he’ll be doing it laden down with nappies and bottles!
The 43 year-old and his wife Samantha have announced they are expecting a new baby and Paddy Power have already chalked up odds on what Samantha and David might name their newborn. Ewen, which has been a popular family name throughout the years is the 6/1 favourite followed by William at 8/1 and Mary after David’s mother at 10/1. The odds on the pair naming their baby Maggie after the iron lady herself is just 20/1 while it’s 150/1 they choose the name Gordon!
Whilst there’s nothing to suggest that twins run on either side of the family, bookies Paddy Power are quoting 20/1 on a double arrival, and 1000/1 on the Cameron’s welcoming triplets into the world!
So, how will expecting a new baby affect Cameron’s election odds? Positively according to Paddy Power!
Sharon McHugh, spokesperson for Paddy Power, explains: “A new baby is great news. Cameron might now have more sleepless nights than usual but it certainly won’t hamper his chances of election success. When Leo Blair came along, if anything, we saw a lot more support for Tony Blair.”
DOWNING STREET BABY? – Cameron Baby Specials
Name of Baby
6/1 Ewen
8/1 William
10/1 Ian
10/1 Mary
12/1 Donald
14/1 David
14/1 Samantha
14/1 Adrian
14/1 Annabel
16/1 Alexander
16/1 Lucy
18/1 Alec
18/1 Tania
18/1 Clare
18/1 Veronica
18/1 John
20/1 Margaret
25/1 George
33/1 Aston
33/1 Sarah
40/1 Nick
40/1 Nicolas
50/1 Tory
66/1 Boris
80/1 Eton
100/1 Oxford
100/1 Tony
150/1 Gordon
500/1 Barack
Others on request
Baby Specials
33/1 The Cameron’s to have twins
1000/1 The Cameron’s to have triplets
10000/1 The Cameron’s to have quadruplets
Ends
For more information, please contact:
Sharon McHugh (Ire) – +353 1 488 1716 / +353 87 922 4143 / smchugh@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Lib Dems 6/1 to side with Labour
(12/03/10) With political polls continuing to suggest a hung parliament as a real possibility ahead of the forthcoming General Election Paddy Power are offering 3/1 that the Liberal Democrats enter into a coalition government.
Both Labour and the Conservatives will want to get the Lib Dems into their corner should Britain be hamstrung with no party winning a Commons majority and Paddy Power are betting on who might be the most likely to receive the Lib Dem’s official support from Nick Clegg. The bookie offers 6/1 for the Lib Dems to officially support Labour and 8/1 they side with a Conservative government.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “Even though the Lib Dems are 150/1 no hopers to win the Election, it increasingly looks like they could be the Party that is left holding all the cards and all eyes will be on what they decide to do.”
Meanwhile should the Lib Dems find themselves in the position of King-makers after the election the majority party may be forced into granting them some big concessions in return for their support. Paddy Power offer 12/1 the Lib Dems get their main wish for Proportional Representation to be introduced whilst the bookie is also betting on what will be the most powerful Cabinet position held by a Lib Dem MP in a hung parliament.
The favourite is Deputy PM at 8/1 whilst Chancellor of the Exchequer could be a popular bet at 12/1 with the respected Vince Cable waiting in the wings. The top job of PM is 80/1 to be held by a Lib Dem.
2010 Election Betting Latest
Election Winner
1/7 Conservatives
4/1 Labour
150/1 Lib Dems
6/4 Hung Parliament
Who will Lib Dems form a coalition with in a hung parliament?
1/5 Neither
6/1 Labour
8/1 Conservatives
Will the Lib Dems form a coalition in a hung parliament?
1/5 No
3/1 Yes
Most senior position held by a Lib Dem in a Hung Parliament?
8/1 Deputy PM
12/1 Chancellor of Exchequer
14/1 Foreign Secretary
18/1 Home Secretary
20/1 Defence Secretary
20/1 Justice Secretary
25/1 Health Secretary
25/1 Transport Secretary
33/1 Culture Secretary
80/1 PM
Electoral Reform
12/1 Electoral system based on Proportional Representation to be introduced during a Hung Parliament
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Cameron tipped to win on camera
(08/03/10) Paddy Power has installed David Cameron as the early favourite to come out on top amongst his political rivals in the forthcoming TV debates.
With the three parties and three broadcasters finally coming to an agreement over the historic programmes, pollsters will be quick to vet the public for who they think is the winner and Paddy Power has installed Conservative leader David Cameron the 10/11 market leader to win most of the three debates. The PM Gordon Brown is the 5/4 second favourite with Nick Clegg the 6/1 outsider.
Cameron is also the 4/5 favourite to be declared the winner in the first televised debate, to be shown on ITV whilst the BBC are expected to top the TV viewing figures with their show hosted by David Dimbleby, the last in the series of three.
With strict rules preventing any kind of recourse from the vetted audience Paddy Power are also betting on which decree will be the first to be broken. Applauding is the 11/8 favourite closely followed by booing at 7/4 although it could be difficult to stifle an emotional heckle at 4/1. Streaking, which may or may not be in the official rules, is 50/1.
The Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg, perhaps less used to such a high level of exposure, is the 11/10 favourite to be the first leader to noticeably perspire during the debate coverage.
Darren Haines, spokesman for Paddy Power, said: “The three political parties will be quick to declare whether the televised debates are important depending on whether or not their leader is deemed to be the winner. But love them or loathe them there will be huge interest in the programmes and the whole country will be discussing who they think are the victors so we’re offering the chance to back your fancied runner with a flutter.”
TV Debate Betting
Who will win the most TV debates?
10/11 Cameron
5/4 Brown
6/1 Clegg
12/1 Three way tie
(ICM Results)
Who will win the first TV debate? (ITV on Domestic affairs)
4/5 Cameron
13/8 Brown
7/2 Clegg
First to noticeably perspire?
11/10 Clegg
6/4 Cameron
3/1 Brown
Which rule will be broken first?
11/8 Applauding
7/4 Booing
4/1 Heckling
9/2 Cheering
50/1 Streaking
Which TV debate will have the highest TV audience?
4/6 BBC
9/4 ITV
7/2 SKY
25/1 Any party leader to swear during the TV debates
5/1 Any party leader not to shake hands with another at the end of a debate
Election Latest
General Election
1/7 Conservatives
4/1 Labour
150/1 Lib Dems
Hung Parliament?
4/7 Conservative Majority
6/4 Hung Parliament
9/1 Labour majority
UK Election Date - When in May will the election take place?
100/1 Tuesday 4th May
100/1 Wednesday 5th May
1/6 Thursday 6th May
150/1 Friday 7th May
150/1 Monday 10th May
100/1 Tuesday 11th May
100/1 Wednesday 12th May
10/1 Thursday 13th May
150/1 Friday 14th May
150/1 Monday 17th May
100/1 Tuesday 18th May
100/1 Wednesday 19th May
6/1 Thursday 20th May
150/1 Friday 21st May
150/1 Monday 24th May
100/1 Tuesday 25th May
100/1 Wednesday 26th May
5/1 Thursday 27th May
150/1 Friday 28th May
Paddy Power now has betting on all 632 UK constituencies ahead of the General Election (N.Ireland excl).
Ends
For further Paddy Power betting or information please contact:
Darren Haines
UK PR Manager
Paddy Power Plc
T: 0207 0899 799
M: 07771 650 330
dhaines@paddypower.com
Download Press Release
Formation of next UK government?
UK POLITICS
-
Warning: Invalid argument supplied for foreach() in /export/www/irishelectionbetting/_includes/tweet.php on line 16
